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Dayton leads Anderson Kelliher, Entenza trails by a lot in MPR poll

by The Big E on May 19, 2010 · 12 comments

Former US Senator Mark Dayton leads Speaker of the House Margaret Anderson Kelliher 38% to 28% in a new MPR/Humphrey Institute MN-GOV poll .  Matt Entenza trails these two with 6%.  The margin of error is 5.8%

The poll also found that if the general election were held right now, Dayton might have a slight edge, but it would be a toss-up regardless of which Democrat ends up taking on Republican candidate Rep. Tom Emmer.

The poll of 701 Minnesota adults, which was taken May 13-May16, shows Dayton is the favorite among likely DFL primary voters by a 10-point margin: 38 percent to 28 percent over House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher.

With a nearly 6% MoE, Dayton has a slight lead, but an interesting breakdown of the data shows that Dayton leads MAK among DFL women by 6%.

The good news for whomever prevails in the DFL primary is this:

A third of the Republicans who responded to the poll said they were either undecided, supporting a Democrat or backing the Independence Party-endorsed candidate Tom Horner.

Jacobs says for the sole Republican candidate to have only two-thirds of party members backing him is extraordinary, and not good news for Emmer.

Emmer is not well known and does not have the Republicans in the state behind him.  I think that former Republican Tom Horner (running as the IP candidate) has a great chance to pull a healthy margin of Republicans away from Emmer as I think many Republicans will be as frightened of Emmer as I am.

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